south side · cash flow modeling

Kenwood Cash Flow Analysis

BRRRR and long-term rental cash-flow modeling for Kenwood investor properties at the neighborhood median.

This analysis models a typical BRRRR project in Kenwood at the neighborhood median ARV of $765K. Real-world projects vary substantially based on property type, condition, and submarket dynamics.

Acquisition and rehab assumptions

Acquisition price (85% of median)$506K
Rehab budget (midpoint)$223K
All-in cost$728K
After-Repair Value (ARV)$765K

Monthly cash flow model

Estimated monthly rent$7K
Property tax (Cook County investor classification)−$2K
Insurance−$319
Vacancy reserve (7%)−$455
Property management (8%)−$520
Maintenance reserve (6%)−$390
Net Operating Income (monthly)$3K
DSCR refi at 75% LTV / 7.5% / 30yr$574K loan, $4K P&I
Monthly cash flow after debt service$-787
Cash left in deal after refinance$155K

What this tells us about Kenwood

At the Kenwood median, a typical BRRRR project produces approximately $-787 per month in cash flow after a 75% LTV DSCR refinance. With approximately $155K remaining in the deal after refinance, this represents a -6% cash-on-cash return on the remaining capital — before appreciation.

Kenwood has Chicago's most architecturally significant mansion blocks south of downtown. Restoration projects are high-budget but command top-of-submarket prices when executed. UChicago proximity supports rental and end-buyer demand.

How this scales across Kenwood

Kenwood's housing stock includes historic mansion, greystone, 2-flat, mid-rise condo. Multi-unit properties (2-flat, 3-flat) typically produce 30–60% higher gross rent than single-family at similar ARVs but carry higher tax burdens and management overhead. Single-family rehabs often have stronger exit liquidity (owner-occupant buyers) but lower cash flow.

Sensitivity considerations

  • Rent assumption: Modeled at ~0.85% of ARV. Actual rents in Kenwood range from 0.6–1.0% depending on property type and condition.
  • Property tax: Modeled at 2.5% of ARV for Cook County investor classification. Successful tax appeal can reduce this 15–30%.
  • Interest rate: DSCR refi rates currently range 7.5–9.5% depending on borrower profile and leverage. A 1% rate change moves monthly cash flow by approximately $100–200 on this deal size.
  • Rehab budget: Modeled at midpoint of $95K–$350K. Common considerations on Kenwood housing stock (historic restoration, large building system updates) can push budgets higher.

Kenwood cash flow FAQ

What's the typical monthly rent in Kenwood?

Estimated monthly rent for a stabilized investment property in Kenwood at the $765K median ARV level is approximately $7K per month — a rough rule-of-thumb estimate at ~0.85% of ARV. Actual rents vary significantly by property type (historic mansion, greystone, 2-flat, mid-rise condo) and condition.

Does BRRRR pencil in Kenwood?

On these estimates, a typical BRRRR project at the Kenwood median ARV produces approximately $-787 per month in cash flow after debt service (at 75% LTV DSCR refi, 7.5% rate, 30-year amortization). Cash left in the deal after refinance: $155K. Individual deals vary substantially.

What's the typical property tax burden in Kenwood?

For a property in Kenwood valued at the median ARV of $765K, expect approximately $19K in annual property tax (Cook County investor-classification, before exemptions and appeals). Chicago city properties were reassessed in 2024 — many neighborhoods saw material assessment increases.

What rent-to-price ratio does Kenwood typically support?

Kenwood typically supports a rent-to-price ratio in the 0.6%-0.9% range depending on property type and condition. Multi-unit properties (2-flat, 3-flat) generally produce higher ratios than single-family. The 1% rule rarely applies in Chicago neighborhoods — but BRRRR works at lower ratios when appreciation supports it.

This is a directional cash-flow model, not personalized financial advice. Rent estimates, tax rates, and refinance terms are illustrative. Validate every assumption with current market data and your own underwriting before committing capital.

Ready to fund your next Chicago deal?

Tell us about your project — we'll match you with vetted Chicago-area lenders within 24 hours.

Get a Quote