far north side · cash flow modeling

Edgewater Cash Flow Analysis

BRRRR and long-term rental cash-flow modeling for Edgewater investor properties at the neighborhood median.

This analysis models a typical BRRRR project in Edgewater at the neighborhood median ARV of $495K. Real-world projects vary substantially based on property type, condition, and submarket dynamics.

Acquisition and rehab assumptions

Acquisition price (85% of median)$336K
Rehab budget (midpoint)$110K
All-in cost$446K
After-Repair Value (ARV)$495K

Monthly cash flow model

Estimated monthly rent$4K
Property tax (Cook County investor classification)−$1K
Insurance−$206
Vacancy reserve (7%)−$295
Property management (8%)−$337
Maintenance reserve (6%)−$252
Net Operating Income (monthly)$2K
DSCR refi at 75% LTV / 7.5% / 30yr$371K loan, $3K P&I
Monthly cash flow after debt service$-509
Cash left in deal after refinance$75K

What this tells us about Edgewater

At the Edgewater median, a typical BRRRR project produces approximately $-509 per month in cash flow after a 75% LTV DSCR refinance. With approximately $75K remaining in the deal after refinance, this represents a -8% cash-on-cash return on the remaining capital — before appreciation.

Edgewater is one of the most reliable vintage condo BRRRR markets in the city. Andersonville commercial corridor anchors the western blocks. Lakefront access is the consistent value driver.

How this scales across Edgewater

Edgewater's housing stock includes vintage condo, courtyard walkup, 3-flat, mid-rise condo. Multi-unit properties (2-flat, 3-flat) typically produce 30–60% higher gross rent than single-family at similar ARVs but carry higher tax burdens and management overhead. Single-family rehabs often have stronger exit liquidity (owner-occupant buyers) but lower cash flow.

Sensitivity considerations

  • Rent assumption: Modeled at ~0.85% of ARV. Actual rents in Edgewater range from 0.6–1.0% depending on property type and condition.
  • Property tax: Modeled at 2.5% of ARV for Cook County investor classification. Successful tax appeal can reduce this 15–30%.
  • Interest rate: DSCR refi rates currently range 7.5–9.5% depending on borrower profile and leverage. A 1% rate change moves monthly cash flow by approximately $100–200 on this deal size.
  • Rehab budget: Modeled at midpoint of $55K–$165K. Common considerations on Edgewater housing stock (tuckpointing, window restoration) can push budgets higher.

Edgewater cash flow FAQ

What's the typical monthly rent in Edgewater?

Estimated monthly rent for a stabilized investment property in Edgewater at the $495K median ARV level is approximately $4K per month — a rough rule-of-thumb estimate at ~0.85% of ARV. Actual rents vary significantly by property type (vintage condo, courtyard walkup, 3-flat, mid-rise condo) and condition.

Does BRRRR pencil in Edgewater?

On these estimates, a typical BRRRR project at the Edgewater median ARV produces approximately $-509 per month in cash flow after debt service (at 75% LTV DSCR refi, 7.5% rate, 30-year amortization). Cash left in the deal after refinance: $75K. Individual deals vary substantially.

What's the typical property tax burden in Edgewater?

For a property in Edgewater valued at the median ARV of $495K, expect approximately $12K in annual property tax (Cook County investor-classification, before exemptions and appeals). Chicago city properties were reassessed in 2024 — many neighborhoods saw material assessment increases.

What rent-to-price ratio does Edgewater typically support?

Edgewater typically supports a rent-to-price ratio in the 0.6%-0.9% range depending on property type and condition. Multi-unit properties (2-flat, 3-flat) generally produce higher ratios than single-family. The 1% rule rarely applies in Chicago neighborhoods — but BRRRR works at lower ratios when appreciation supports it.

This is a directional cash-flow model, not personalized financial advice. Rent estimates, tax rates, and refinance terms are illustrative. Validate every assumption with current market data and your own underwriting before committing capital.

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