southwest side · cash flow modeling

Clearing Cash Flow Analysis

BRRRR and long-term rental cash-flow modeling for Clearing investor properties at the neighborhood median.

This analysis models a typical BRRRR project in Clearing at the neighborhood median ARV of $350K. Real-world projects vary substantially based on property type, condition, and submarket dynamics.

Acquisition and rehab assumptions

Acquisition price (85% of median)$242K
Rehab budget (midpoint)$78K
All-in cost$320K
After-Repair Value (ARV)$350K

Monthly cash flow model

Estimated monthly rent$3K
Property tax (Cook County investor classification)−$729
Insurance−$146
Vacancy reserve (7%)−$208
Property management (8%)−$238
Maintenance reserve (6%)−$179
Net Operating Income (monthly)$1K
DSCR refi at 75% LTV / 7.5% / 30yr$263K loan, $2K P&I
Monthly cash flow after debt service$-360
Cash left in deal after refinance$57K

What this tells us about Clearing

At the Clearing median, a typical BRRRR project produces approximately $-360 per month in cash flow after a 75% LTV DSCR refinance. With approximately $57K remaining in the deal after refinance, this represents a -8% cash-on-cash return on the remaining capital — before appreciation.

Clearing has a suburban feel adjacent to Midway. Stable owner-occupant demand. Predictable margins on clean renovations.

How this scales across Clearing

Clearing's housing stock includes ranch, bungalow, split-level, single-family. Multi-unit properties (2-flat, 3-flat) typically produce 30–60% higher gross rent than single-family at similar ARVs but carry higher tax burdens and management overhead. Single-family rehabs often have stronger exit liquidity (owner-occupant buyers) but lower cash flow.

Sensitivity considerations

  • Rent assumption: Modeled at ~0.85% of ARV. Actual rents in Clearing range from 0.6–1.0% depending on property type and condition.
  • Property tax: Modeled at 2.5% of ARV for Cook County investor classification. Successful tax appeal can reduce this 15–30%.
  • Interest rate: DSCR refi rates currently range 7.5–9.5% depending on borrower profile and leverage. A 1% rate change moves monthly cash flow by approximately $100–200 on this deal size.
  • Rehab budget: Modeled at midpoint of $40K–$115K. Common considerations on Clearing housing stock (aging mechanicals, kitchen/bath updates) can push budgets higher.

Clearing cash flow FAQ

What's the typical monthly rent in Clearing?

Estimated monthly rent for a stabilized investment property in Clearing at the $350K median ARV level is approximately $3K per month — a rough rule-of-thumb estimate at ~0.85% of ARV. Actual rents vary significantly by property type (ranch, bungalow, split-level, single-family) and condition.

Does BRRRR pencil in Clearing?

On these estimates, a typical BRRRR project at the Clearing median ARV produces approximately $-360 per month in cash flow after debt service (at 75% LTV DSCR refi, 7.5% rate, 30-year amortization). Cash left in the deal after refinance: $57K. Individual deals vary substantially.

What's the typical property tax burden in Clearing?

For a property in Clearing valued at the median ARV of $350K, expect approximately $9K in annual property tax (Cook County investor-classification, before exemptions and appeals). Chicago city properties were reassessed in 2024 — many neighborhoods saw material assessment increases.

What rent-to-price ratio does Clearing typically support?

Clearing typically supports a rent-to-price ratio in the 0.6%-0.9% range depending on property type and condition. Multi-unit properties (2-flat, 3-flat) generally produce higher ratios than single-family. The 1% rule rarely applies in Chicago neighborhoods — but BRRRR works at lower ratios when appreciation supports it.

This is a directional cash-flow model, not personalized financial advice. Rent estimates, tax rates, and refinance terms are illustrative. Validate every assumption with current market data and your own underwriting before committing capital.

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